tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:00 ROC → 05:54 ORD
    AA 4247 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 99% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 ORD → 10:59 DCA
    AA 2345 · American · 1h 59m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 59mROC 05:00 to DCA 10:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.