tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:00 ROC → 05:54 ORD
    AA 4247 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 99% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 ORD → 12:59 JFK
    B6 906 · JetBlue · 2h 19m · 88% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 59mROC 05:00 to JFK 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.