tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Dulles via Chicago: arrives on time 92%

  1. 05:00 ROC → 05:54 ORD
    AA 4247 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 99% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:40 ORD → 11:52 IAD
    UA 2277 · United · 2h 12m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 52mROC 05:00 to IAD 11:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.