tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 39%

  1. 07:01 AVL → 08:44 DFW
    AA 4261 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 43m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 DFW → 13:59 LGA
    AA 3053 · American · 3h 29m · 59% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 58mAVL 07:01 to LGA 13:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.