tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:30 RAP → 10:00 DFW
    AA 4277 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 30m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:19 DFW → 15:59 ORD
    F9 1342 · Frontier · 2h 43m · 75% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 32mRAP 06:30 to ORD 15:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.