tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:30 RAP → 10:00 DFW
    AA 4277 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 30m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:54 DFW → 12:28 PHX
    F9 3971 · Frontier · 2h 36m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 54m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 00mRAP 06:30 to PHX 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.