tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:21 MEM → 08:29 ORD
    AA 4279 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 08m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 11:36 BNA
    AA 1650 · American · 1h 37m · 78% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 16mMEM 06:21 to BNA 11:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.