tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:21 MEM → 08:29 ORD
    AA 4279 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 08m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 11:44 DEN
    AA 1744 · American · 2h 44m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 23mMEM 06:21 to DEN 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.