tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:21 MEM → 08:29 ORD
    AA 4279 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 08m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:35 ORD → 15:00 LGA
    DL 2985 · Delta · 2h 25m · 78% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 39mMEM 06:21 to LGA 15:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.