tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Miami via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:21 MEM → 08:29 ORD
    AA 4279 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 08m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:33 ORD → 14:57 MIA
    UA 1620 · United · 3h 24m · 77% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 36mMEM 06:21 to MIA 14:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.