tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 VPS → 08:46 MIA
    AA 4301 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 46m · 79% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:58 MIA → 12:40 DCA
    AA 1612 · American · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 38mVPS 06:00 to DCA 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.