tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Miami: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 VPS → 08:46 MIA
    AA 4301 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 46m · 79% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:29 MIA → 14:34 LGA
    DL 2346 · Delta · 3h 08m · 70% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 37mVPS 06:00 to LGA 14:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.