tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 VPS → 08:46 MIA
    AA 4301 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 46m · 79% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:22 MIA → 14:05 DCA
    DL 2888 · Delta · 2h 41m · 70% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 03mVPS 06:00 to DCA 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.