tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:00 MSN → 06:15 ORD
    AA 4322 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:35 ORD → 12:56 LGA
    DL 2252 · Delta · 2h 21m · 90% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 56mMSN 05:00 to LGA 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.