tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:00 MSN → 06:15 ORD
    AA 4322 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 ORD → 13:04 DCA
    UA 1381 · United · 2h 04m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 04mMSN 05:00 to DCA 13:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.