Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Milwaukee → Phoenix via Philadelphia: arrives on time 42%
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12:52 MKE → 16:03 PHLAA 5018 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 67% on time, 6.9% cancelled
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1h 27m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:30 PHL → 19:37 PHXAA 1984 · American · 5h 07m · 64% on time, 2.9% cancelled
Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip8h 45mMKE 12:52 to PHX 19:37, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.