tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Minneapolis via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:58 ATW → 19:22 CLT
    AA 5021 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 24m · 54% on time, 7.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 CLT → 22:13 MSP
    AA 2176 · American · 2h 42m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (7.7% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 13mATW 15:58 to MSP 22:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.