tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 12:54 DCA → 14:34 CLT
    AA 5022 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 40m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:57 CLT → 17:41 TPA
    AA 2777 · American · 1h 44m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 47mDCA 12:54 to TPA 17:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.