tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albany → New York via Washington: arrives on time 34%

  1. 12:03 ALB → 13:44 DCA
    AA 5029 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 38m · 53% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:56 DCA → 16:33 LGA
    AA 4773 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 64% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 27mALB 12:03 to LGA 16:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.