tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:38 MHT → 08:03 CLT
    AA 5035 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 25m · 93% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:21 CLT → 10:50 DCA
    AA 2825 · American · 1h 29m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 12mMHT 05:38 to DCA 10:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.