tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:38 MHT → 08:03 CLT
    AA 5035 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 25m · 93% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 CLT → 12:38 IAD
    AA 5220 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 00mMHT 05:38 to IAD 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.