tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:38 MHT → 08:03 CLT
    AA 5035 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 25m · 93% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:35 CLT → 11:59 ORD
    UA 4680 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Manchester). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 21mMHT 05:38 to ORD 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.