tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:38 MHT → 08:03 CLT
    AA 5035 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 25m · 93% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:27 CLT → 11:55 IAD
    UA 4012 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 28m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 17mMHT 05:38 to IAD 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.