tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:46 ORF → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5036 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 84% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 CLT → 11:12 PHL
    AA 2291 · American · 1h 43m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 26mORF 06:46 to PHL 11:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.