tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:46 ORF → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5036 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 84% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:01 CLT → 12:19 ORD
    AA 2908 · American · 2h 18m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 33mORF 06:46 to ORD 12:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.