tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:46 ORF → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5036 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 84% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:27 CLT → 11:29 JFK
    AA 374 · American · 2h 02m · 75% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 43mORF 06:46 to JFK 11:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.