tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Rochester via Philadelphia: arrives on time 67%

  1. 09:50 ATL → 11:59 PHL
    AA 5037 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 09m · 87% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:17 PHL → 14:48 ROC
    AA 5907 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 28m · 81% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 55mATL 09:50 to ROC 14:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.