tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 07:00 PHL → 09:19 ATL
    AA 5037 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 16m · 83% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:38 ATL → 12:38 MIA
    AA 512 · American · 2h 00m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 38mPHL 07:00 to MIA 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.