tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:00 PHL → 09:19 ATL
    AA 5037 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 16m · 83% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:15 ATL → 11:11 BHM
    DL 1017 · Delta · 56m · 91% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 11mPHL 07:00 to BHM 11:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.