tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:00 PHL → 09:19 ATL
    AA 5037 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 16m · 83% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:30 ATL → 14:05 RIC
    DL 1437 · Delta · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 05mPHL 07:00 to RIC 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.