tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 11:11 ATL → 12:36 CLT
    AA 5039 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 25m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:24 CLT → 17:41 ILM
    AA 6116 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 17m · 71% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 30mATL 11:11 to ILM 17:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.