tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Nashville via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:45 ATL → 20:23 CLT
    AA 5040 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 49% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 CLT → 22:32 BNA
    AA 1644 · American · 1h 27m · 62% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 47mATL 18:45 to BNA 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.