tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Kansas City via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:45 ATL → 20:23 CLT
    AA 5040 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 49% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:34 CLT → 22:58 MCI
    AA 1732 · American · 2h 24m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 13mATL 18:45 to MCI 22:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.