tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Valparaiso via Charlotte: arrives on time 26%

  1. 18:45 ATL → 20:23 CLT
    AA 5040 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 49% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:09 CLT → 21:49 VPS
    AA 2197 · American · 1h 40m · 66% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 04mATL 18:45 to VPS 21:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.