tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Grand Rapids via Charlotte: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:45 ATL → 20:23 CLT
    AA 5040 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 49% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 CLT → 00:21 GRR +1 day
    AA 3113 · American · 1h 52m · 65% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 35mATL 18:45 to GRR 00:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.