tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Omaha via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 18:45 ATL → 20:23 CLT
    AA 5040 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 49% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 CLT → 00:19 OMA +1 day
    AA 961 · American · 2h 38m · 78% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 34mATL 18:45 to OMA 00:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.