tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 29%

  1. 18:45 ATL → 20:23 CLT
    AA 5040 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 49% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 CLT → 23:49 TYS
    AA 5511 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 12m · 44% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip5h 05mATL 18:45 to TYS 23:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.