tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 9%

  1. 16:46 CLT → 18:14 ATL
    AA 5040 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 28m · 46% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 ATL → 21:00 MIA
    AA 1367 · American · 2h 05m · 30% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip4h 19mCLT 16:46 to MIA 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.