tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:06 ATL → 16:36 CLT
    AA 5041 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 CLT → 19:34 IAD
    AA 1450 · American · 1h 30m · 53% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 34mATL 15:06 to IAD 19:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.