tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Raleigh/Durham via Charlotte: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:06 ATL → 16:36 CLT
    AA 5041 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:11 CLT → 19:18 RDU
    AA 2394 · American · 1h 07m · 57% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 12mATL 15:06 to RDU 19:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.