tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → San Francisco via Charlotte: arrives on time 16%

  1. 15:06 ATL → 16:36 CLT
    AA 5041 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:29 CLT → 20:06 SFO
    AA 2556 · American · 5h 37m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip8h 00mATL 15:06 to SFO 20:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.