tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:06 ATL → 16:36 CLT
    AA 5041 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 CLT → 20:21 MIA
    AA 488 · American · 2h 21m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 15mATL 15:06 to MIA 20:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.