tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Charlotte: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:06 ATL → 16:36 CLT
    AA 5041 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 CLT → 19:36 XNA
    AA 4087 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 30mATL 15:06 to XNA 19:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.