tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Birmingham via Charlotte: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:06 ATL → 16:36 CLT
    AA 5041 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:32 CLT → 18:08 BHM
    AA 5077 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 54% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 03mATL 15:06 to BHM 18:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.