tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Panama City Beach via Charlotte: arrives on time 20%

  1. 15:06 ATL → 16:36 CLT
    AA 5041 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:37 CLT → 18:22 ECP
    AA 5649 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip4h 16mATL 15:06 to ECP 18:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.