tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:03 IAD → 06:35 CLT
    AA 5054 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 32m · 91% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:11 CLT → 10:12 JFK
    AA 1029 · American · 2h 01m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 09mIAD 05:03 to JFK 10:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.