tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → St Louis via Charlotte: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:03 IAD → 06:35 CLT
    AA 5054 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 32m · 91% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:36 CLT → 08:32 STL
    AA 2733 · American · 1h 56m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip4h 29mIAD 05:03 to STL 08:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.