tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:03 IAD → 06:35 CLT
    AA 5054 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 32m · 91% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:55 CLT → 09:41 PHL
    AA 3046 · American · 1h 46m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 38mIAD 05:03 to PHL 09:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.