tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Nashville via Charlotte: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:03 IAD → 06:35 CLT
    AA 5054 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 32m · 91% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 CLT → 09:49 BNA
    AA 5083 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 84% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 46mIAD 05:03 to BNA 09:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.