tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Orlando via Washington: arrives on time 23%

  1. 14:16 BDL → 16:03 DCA
    AA 5059 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 38m · 51% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 DCA → 19:40 MCO
    AA 2139 · American · 2h 31m · 57% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 15mBDL 14:16 to MCO 19:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.